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Red126
837342.3
442242.8
86257.6
Blue88
612035.2
608143.5
657034.1
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17310705015020025012688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+42Teleop
+32Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave0
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +21
13Coral scored#11
46Coral points39
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
18Processor points12
20Net points12
38Algae points24
84Total teleop63
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#3
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
26Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
6Foul points0
126Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#14
57.62.2
68.866.7
Auto13.5
Teleop37.3
End6.7
red by 14.1
6081
#10
43.51.4
34.232.9
Auto5.4
Teleop31.5
End6.6
Second
42.82.2
42.740.6
Auto9.8
Teleop23.1
End9.9
red by 7.7
6120
#20
35.21.4
33.732.3
Auto8.9
Teleop21.0
End5.3
Third
42.32.2
34.832.6
Auto6.7
Teleop31.9
End3.7
red by 8.2
34.11.4
35.434.1
Auto7.4
Teleop16.8
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsEarned