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Red70
686134.5
283445.2
719625.7
Blue172
439515.3
353855.9
924581.0
33%Model gave it67%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1471685010020025070172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+88
Endgame+104
Fouls+102
AutonomousBlue +31
9Leave6
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points34
9Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +57
10Coral scored#26
37Coral points92
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
55Total teleop112
Reef
4L4#15
3L3#9
2L2#6
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +16
4Cage & park20
4Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +102
2Foul points0
70Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.24.5
61.657.1
Auto9.8
Teleop29.7
End5.7
blue by 35.8
81.01.6
76.578.1
Auto15.9
Teleop54.6
End10.4
Second
34.54.5
38.634.1
Auto6.6
Teleop21.3
End6.6
blue by 21.4
3538
#11
55.91.6
49.951.5
Auto14.7
Teleop40.4
End0.7
Third
7196
#17
25.74.5
30.826.2
Auto4.3
Teleop15.6
End5.8
red by 10.4
4395
#18
15.31.6
15.617.2
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
56%Coral oddsMissed37%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsMissed75%Barge oddsEarned