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Red142
438138.3
612035.2
999234.7
Blue123
837342.3
828035.1
999619.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11486050100150200250142123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+9Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points23
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +1
17Coral scored#19
61Coral points70
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
83Total teleop84
Reef
8L4#10
7L3#6
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#27
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
142Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.33.0
35.338.4
Auto6.6
Teleop23.8
End7.9
blue by 3.9
42.32.4
32.635.0
Auto6.7
Teleop31.9
End3.7
Second
6120
#20
35.23.0
32.335.4
Auto8.9
Teleop21.0
End5.3
red by 0.1
35.12.4
34.436.7
Auto11.8
Teleop19.3
End4.0
Third
9992
#15
34.75.1
25.730.8
Auto10.2
Teleop20.4
End4.3
red by 15.1
9996
#16
19.73.9
14.618.5
Auto6.7
Teleop12.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsEarned