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Red73
608143.5
439515.3
514431.5
Blue60
442242.8
657034.1
24012.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions831050501502007360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+23Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
9Leave3
1Coral scored#4
4Coral points21
13Total auto24
TeleoperatedRed +34
8Coral scored#4
30Coral points16
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
12Processor points0
12Net points4
24Algae points4
54Total teleop20
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
73Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6081
#10
43.50.5
32.932.4
Auto5.4
Teleop31.5
End6.6
red by 0.7
42.82.3
40.638.3
Auto9.8
Teleop23.1
End9.9
Second
5144
#12
31.50.5
29.729.3
Auto4.5
Teleop24.4
End2.6
blue by 2.6
34.12.3
34.131.7
Auto7.4
Teleop16.8
End9.9
Third
4395
#18
15.30.5
17.216.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End2.9
red by 3.1
240
#21
12.32.3
19.917.6
Auto4.2
Teleop6.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsEarned