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Red67
439515.3
24012.3
86257.6
Blue109
999312.3
999619.7
353855.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14411105020025030035067109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+40
Endgame+30
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +27
6Leave3
1Coral scored#7
3Coral points33
9Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +13
7Coral scored#13
26Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
44Total teleop57
Reef
3L4#8
2L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#22
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points12
67Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#14
57.64.1
75.271.1
Auto13.5
Teleop37.3
End6.7
red by 1.7
3538
#11
55.90.0
56.656.6
Auto14.7
Teleop40.4
End0.7
Second
4395
#18
15.34.1
21.717.6
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End2.9
blue by 4.3
9996
#16
19.70.0
16.016.0
Auto6.7
Teleop12.4
End0.7
Third
240
#21
12.34.1
22.818.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.4
End1.6
Level
9993
#19
12.30.0
16.016.0
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed