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Red194
686134.5
924581.0
837342.3
Blue152
608143.5
828035.1
999234.7
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions176106050150200250300194152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+42Teleop
+42Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave6
7Coral scored#2
36Coral points9
36Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +21
25Coral scored#19
90Coral points67
3Processor algae#4
6Net algae#5
18Processor points24
24Net points20
42Algae points44
132Total teleop111
Reef
10L4#7
13L3#8
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
41Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points0
194Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.02.4
74.677.0
Auto15.9
Teleop54.6
End10.4
red by 37.5
6081
#10
43.53.6
32.035.6
Auto5.4
Teleop31.5
End6.6
Second
42.32.4
31.133.5
Auto6.7
Teleop31.9
End3.7
red by 7.2
35.13.6
36.139.7
Auto11.8
Teleop19.3
End4.0
Third
34.52.4
40.042.4
Auto6.6
Teleop21.3
End6.6
blue by 0.3
9992
#15
34.76.0
16.022.0
Auto10.2
Teleop20.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
51%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned