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Red139
283445.2
86257.6
608143.5
Blue125
24012.3
686134.5
22659.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184108050150200250300139125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+26Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
6Coral scored#4
28Coral points21
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +19
23Coral scored#15
82Coral points55
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
12Processor points12
4Net points12
16Algae points24
98Total teleop79
Reef
9L4#5
6L3#7
9L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
32Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
139Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#14
57.61.0
65.965.0
Auto13.5
Teleop37.3
End6.7
blue by 1.7
226
#2
59.31.4
53.755.1
Auto14.3
Teleop35.2
End9.7
Second
45.21.0
55.354.3
Auto9.8
Teleop29.7
End5.7
red by 10.8
34.51.4
33.434.7
Auto6.6
Teleop21.3
End6.6
Third
6081
#10
43.51.0
32.431.4
Auto5.4
Teleop31.5
End6.6
red by 31.3
240
#21
12.31.4
17.619.0
Auto4.2
Teleop6.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsMissed89%Barge oddsEarned