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Qual 222025 Michigan Advanced Robotics Competition (MARC)
Red101
657034.1
999234.7
999619.7
Blue110
719625.7
837342.3
514431.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9592406080100120140101110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +5
3Leave9
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points10
24Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +14
14Coral scored#15
49Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
63Total teleop77
Reef
8L4#8
5L3#5
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
101Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9992
#15
34.72.2
30.8→33.0
Auto10.2
Teleop20.4
End4.3
blue by 7.5
8373
#6
42.31.3
35.0→36.3
Auto6.7
Teleop31.9
End3.7
Second
6570
#9
34.11.3
31.7→33.1
Auto7.4
Teleop16.8
End9.9
red by 2.6
5144
#12
31.51.3
29.3→30.6
Auto4.5
Teleop24.4
End2.6
Third
9996
#16
19.72.2
18.5→20.7
Auto6.7
Teleop12.4
End0.7
blue by 6.1
7196
#17
25.71.3
26.2→27.5
Auto4.3
Teleop15.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsEarned