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Red93
24012.3
283257.5
283445.2
Blue133
608143.5
442242.8
828035.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16011405010020025030093133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+18
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points23
22Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +11
15Coral scored#13
53Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
67Total teleop78
Reef
7L4#7
6L3#6
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
93Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#13
57.52.9
63.860.9
Auto15.4
Teleop37.4
End4.7
red by 14.0
6081
#10
43.51.6
33.835.4
Auto5.4
Teleop31.5
End6.6
Second
45.22.9
52.749.8
Auto9.8
Teleop29.7
End5.7
red by 2.4
42.81.6
40.241.8
Auto9.8
Teleop23.1
End9.9
Third
240
#21
12.32.9
20.417.4
Auto4.2
Teleop6.4
End1.6
blue by 22.8
35.11.6
35.136.7
Auto11.8
Teleop19.3
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned