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Red110
999619.7
86257.6
283257.5
Blue84
612035.2
514431.5
24012.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1687605010015020025030011084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+38Teleop
+28Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave6
8Coral scored#2
41Coral points10
44Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +10
12Coral scored#9
42Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
12Processor points6
8Net points12
20Algae points18
62Total teleop52
Reef
8L4#4
4L3#3
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points2
110Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#14
57.62.4
62.359.9
Auto13.5
Teleop37.3
End6.7
red by 22.4
6120
#20
35.20.0
30.230.3
Auto8.9
Teleop21.0
End5.3
Second
2832
#13
57.52.4
60.958.4
Auto15.4
Teleop37.4
End4.7
red by 26.0
5144
#12
31.50.0
33.733.7
Auto4.5
Teleop24.4
End2.6
Third
9996
#16
19.73.5
17.113.6
Auto6.7
Teleop12.4
End0.7
red by 7.4
240
#21
12.30.0
17.417.5
Auto4.2
Teleop6.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
50%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned