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Red214
608143.5
837342.3
353855.9
Blue162
719625.7
999312.3
22659.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13410750150200214162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+60Teleop
+40Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave9
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points10
27Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +52
29Coral scored#21
105Coral points75
5Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
30Processor points12
24Net points20
54Algae points32
159Total teleop107
Reef
13L4#8
11L3#7
4L2#4
5L1 · trough#4
44Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
12Foul points0
214Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#11
55.93.9
50.954.7
Auto14.7
Teleop40.4
End0.7
blue by 3.4
226
#2
59.33.2
57.460.5
Auto14.3
Teleop35.2
End9.7
Second
6081
#10
43.53.9
35.439.3
Auto5.4
Teleop31.5
End6.6
red by 17.8
7196
#17
25.73.2
23.326.5
Auto4.3
Teleop15.6
End5.8
Third
42.33.9
35.739.6
Auto6.7
Teleop31.9
End3.7
red by 30.0
9993
#19
12.34.2
13.017.2
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned