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Red85
686134.5
442242.8
612035.2
Blue84
828035.1
999234.7
439515.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126900501502002508584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+11
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave9
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
16Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +5
9Coral scored#12
31Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
51Total teleop56
Reef
2L4#5
4L3#4
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#18
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
2Foul points2
85Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.82.5
43.140.6
Auto9.8
Teleop23.1
End9.9
red by 7.8
35.10.5
36.836.4
Auto11.8
Teleop19.3
End4.0
Second
6120
#20
35.22.5
30.327.8
Auto8.9
Teleop21.0
End5.3
red by 0.4
9992
#15
34.70.6
30.129.5
Auto10.2
Teleop20.4
End4.3
Third
34.52.5
37.835.3
Auto6.6
Teleop21.3
End6.6
red by 19.1
4395
#18
15.30.5
14.213.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsMissed