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Red137
657034.1
438138.3
86257.6
Blue146
999619.7
283445.2
924581.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14016150100200250137146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+19
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points29
19Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +9
16Coral scored#17
58Coral points61
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
18Processor points12
16Net points28
34Algae points40
92Total teleop101
Reef
6L4#12
5L3#5
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
137Total score146

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#14
57.60.5
59.960.4
Auto13.5
Teleop37.3
End6.7
blue by 23.4
81.00.1
81.181.2
Auto15.9
Teleop54.6
End10.4
Second
38.30.5
40.440.9
Auto6.6
Teleop23.8
End7.9
blue by 6.9
45.20.1
49.849.9
Auto9.8
Teleop29.7
End5.7
Third
34.10.5
29.229.7
Auto7.4
Teleop16.8
End9.9
red by 14.4
9996
#16
19.70.1
13.613.8
Auto6.7
Teleop12.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed45%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned