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Red139
353855.9
439515.3
612035.2
Blue154
283445.2
283257.5
999234.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99177050150200250300139154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+7Teleop
Endgame+3
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
6Coral scored#9
31Coral points44
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +14
17Coral scored#13
62Coral points48
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
86Total teleop72
Reef
10L4#7
6L3#7
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points12
139Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#11
55.92.7
55.758.4
Auto14.7
Teleop40.4
End0.7
blue by 1.6
2832
#13
57.50.5
60.059.5
Auto15.4
Teleop37.4
End4.7
Second
6120
#20
35.22.7
26.229.0
Auto8.9
Teleop21.0
End5.3
blue by 10.1
45.20.5
48.548.0
Auto9.8
Teleop29.7
End5.7
Third
4395
#18
15.32.7
11.213.9
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End2.9
blue by 19.4
9992
#15
34.70.5
34.734.2
Auto10.2
Teleop20.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsEarned40%Barge oddsEarned