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Red136
719625.7
657034.1
22659.3
Blue123
86257.6
514431.5
828035.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions126143050100200250300136123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+3Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
6Leave0
6Coral scored#7
32Coral points33
38Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +2
14Coral scored#14
50Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
6Processor points12
16Net points12
22Algae points24
72Total teleop74
Reef
7L4#10
6L3#5
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#4
25Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
136Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#2
59.31.4
59.060.4
Auto14.3
Teleop35.2
End9.7
red by 1.7
862
#14
57.60.2
59.359.1
Auto13.5
Teleop37.3
End6.7
Second
34.11.4
31.733.1
Auto7.4
Teleop16.8
End9.9
blue by 1.0
35.10.2
34.834.6
Auto11.8
Teleop19.3
End4.0
Third
7196
#17
25.71.4
23.825.3
Auto4.3
Teleop15.6
End5.8
blue by 5.8
5144
#12
31.50.2
32.432.1
Auto4.5
Teleop24.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsEarned