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Red146
353855.9
837342.3
283257.5
Blue160
924581.0
608143.5
438138.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172179100150200250300146160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+6Teleop
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points13
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +8
20Coral scored#18
72Coral points66
2Processor algae#5
7Net algae#6
12Processor points30
28Net points24
40Algae points54
112Total teleop120
Reef
8L4#9
10L3#5
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
146Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#13
57.51.0
61.060.0
Auto15.4
Teleop37.4
End4.7
blue by 23.5
81.00.6
80.279.5
Auto15.9
Teleop54.6
End10.4
Second
3538
#11
55.91.0
56.755.7
Auto14.7
Teleop40.4
End0.7
red by 12.3
6081
#10
43.50.6
41.240.6
Auto5.4
Teleop31.5
End6.6
Third
42.31.0
37.136.1
Auto6.7
Teleop31.9
End3.7
red by 3.9
38.30.6
42.842.2
Auto6.6
Teleop23.8
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsEarned