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Red85
999619.7
686134.5
439515.3
Blue85
283445.2
612035.2
999312.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5911901001502008585

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+8
Endgame+6
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +4
10Coral scored#10
37Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
51Total teleop55
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#4
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
6Foul points0
85Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.5
Auto6.6
Teleop21.3
End6.6
blue by 10.8
45.2
Auto9.8
Teleop29.7
End5.7
Second
9996
#16
19.7
Auto6.7
Teleop12.4
End0.7
blue by 15.5
6120
#20
35.2
Auto8.9
Teleop21.0
End5.3
Third
4395
#18
15.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End2.9
red by 3.1
9993
#19
12.3
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned