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Red141
86257.6
924581.0
24012.3
Blue140
438138.3
999234.7
442242.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175111050150200250141140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+11Teleop
+1Endgame
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
9Leave0
5Coral scored#7
27Coral points37
36Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +12
21Coral scored#18
75Coral points63
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
99Total teleop87
Reef
7L4#9
8L3#8
5L2#4
6L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
0Foul points0
141Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.01.0
81.280.2
Auto15.9
Teleop54.6
End10.4
red by 38.2
42.81.9
38.039.9
Auto9.8
Teleop23.1
End9.9
Second
862
#14
57.61.0
60.459.3
Auto13.5
Teleop37.3
End6.7
red by 19.2
38.31.9
40.942.8
Auto6.6
Teleop23.8
End7.9
Third
240
#21
12.31.0
15.013.9
Auto4.2
Teleop6.4
End1.6
blue by 22.5
9992
#15
34.72.1
32.634.7
Auto10.2
Teleop20.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned