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Red124
22659.3
612035.2
828035.1
Blue95
514431.5
999312.3
283445.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1421195010020025012495

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+33Teleop
+23Endgame
+29Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave6
7Coral scored#1
36Coral points6
36Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +9
13Coral scored#14
46Coral points49
4Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
24Processor points12
8Net points8
32Algae points20
78Total teleop69
Reef
8L4#4
4L3#4
6L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +29
6Foul points0
124Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#2
59.31.5
60.559.0
Auto14.3
Teleop35.2
End9.7
red by 14.0
45.21.4
49.948.5
Auto9.8
Teleop29.7
End5.7
Second
6120
#20
35.21.5
27.826.2
Auto8.9
Teleop21.0
End5.3
red by 3.7
5144
#12
31.51.4
33.732.4
Auto4.5
Teleop24.4
End2.6
Third
35.11.5
36.434.8
Auto11.8
Teleop19.3
End4.0
red by 22.8
9993
#19
12.31.7
17.215.5
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned