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Red198
924581.0
612035.2
837342.3
Blue152
514431.5
22659.3
86257.6
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162161120130140150170180190200198152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
+46Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousBlue +5
6Leave9
4Coral scored#5
22Coral points24
28Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +51
23Coral scored#15
82Coral points53
5Processor algae#4
8Net algae#4
30Processor points24
32Net points16
62Algae points40
144Total teleop93
Reef
10L4#10
7L3#4
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
40Game pieces#28
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
198Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.03.1
80.283.3
Auto15.9
Teleop54.6
End10.4
red by 21.7
226
#2
59.30.2
61.861.6
Auto14.3
Teleop35.2
End9.7
Second
42.33.1
36.039.2
Auto6.7
Teleop31.9
End3.7
blue by 15.3
862
#14
57.60.2
57.257.0
Auto13.5
Teleop37.3
End6.7
Third
6120
#20
35.23.1
29.032.1
Auto8.9
Teleop21.0
End5.3
red by 3.7
5144
#12
31.50.2
31.030.8
Auto4.5
Teleop24.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
35%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned92%Barge oddsEarned