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Red98
719625.7
828035.1
24012.3
Blue102
353855.9
283445.2
438138.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62167010015020025030098102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+16
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +12
14Coral scored#15
50Coral points54
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
70Total teleop82
Reef
5L4#8
5L3#4
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
98Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.10.0
34.534.5
Auto11.8
Teleop19.3
End4.0
blue by 20.8
3538
#11
55.93.3
58.455.1
Auto14.7
Teleop40.4
End0.7
Second
7196
#17
25.70.0
25.225.2
Auto4.3
Teleop15.6
End5.8
blue by 19.5
45.23.3
48.044.7
Auto9.8
Teleop29.7
End5.7
Third
240
#21
12.30.0
14.614.6
Auto4.2
Teleop6.4
End1.6
blue by 26.1
38.33.3
42.639.3
Auto6.6
Teleop23.8
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsMissed