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Red1
22659.3
924581.0
24012.3
Blue0
997112.4
997012.4
997212.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions196135010015025030010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
0Teleop0
0Endgame0
+1Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Total auto0
Teleoperatedlevel
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
0Total teleop0
Reef
0L4#0
0L3#0
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
0Game pieces#0
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +1
1Foul points0
1Total score0

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.03.5
83.379.8
Auto15.9
Teleop54.6
End10.4
red by 68.6
9970
UnrankedDQ
12.41.7
15.713.9
Auto2.4
Teleop8.4
End1.9
Second
226
#2
59.33.5
61.658.0
Auto14.3
Teleop35.2
End9.7
red by 46.9
9971
UnrankedDQ
12.41.7
15.713.9
Auto2.4
Teleop8.4
End1.9
Third
240
#21
12.33.5
14.611.0
Auto4.2
Teleop6.4
End1.6
blue by 0.1
9972
UnrankedDQ
12.41.7
15.713.9
Auto2.4
Teleop8.4
End1.9