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Red142
283257.5
999312.3
438138.3
Blue163
608143.5
612035.2
837342.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1321220100200300400142163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+31
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
3Coral scored#6
16Coral points30
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +17
24Coral scored#28
86Coral points99
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
110Total teleop127
Reef
8L4#12
10L3#10
6L2#8
3L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#40
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
142Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#13
57.50.5
58.458.9
Auto15.4
Teleop37.4
End4.7
red by 14.0
6081
#10
43.51.0
40.441.4
Auto5.4
Teleop31.5
End6.6
Second
38.30.5
39.339.8
Auto6.6
Teleop23.8
End7.9
blue by 3.9
42.31.0
39.240.1
Auto6.7
Teleop31.9
End3.7
Third
9993
#19
12.30.5
13.213.7
Auto5.0
Teleop3.2
End4.2
blue by 22.9
6120
#20
35.21.0
32.133.0
Auto8.9
Teleop21.0
End5.3