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Red127
442242.8
439515.3
353855.9
Blue114
283445.2
719625.7
828035.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127118406080100140160180200127114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+5Auto
+13Teleop
+13Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +5
6Leave6
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points26
37Total auto32
TeleoperatedRed +8
12Coral scored#13
42Coral points46
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
74Total teleop66
Reef
4L4#8
7L3#3
3L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points0
127Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3538
#11
55.90.3
54.955.2
Auto14.7
Teleop40.4
End0.7
red by 10.6
45.20.1
45.045.1
Auto9.8
Teleop29.7
End5.7
Second
42.80.3
41.942.2
Auto9.8
Teleop23.1
End9.9
red by 7.8
35.10.1
34.935.0
Auto11.8
Teleop19.3
End4.0
Third
4395
#18
15.30.3
14.414.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End2.9
blue by 10.4
7196
#17
25.70.1
25.525.7
Auto4.3
Teleop15.6
End5.8