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Red144
22659.3
924581.0
24012.3
Blue107
86257.6
686134.5
999619.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170116050150200250300350144107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+39Teleop
+37Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
9Leave3
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points13
39Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +16
18Coral scored#17
63Coral points61
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
91Total teleop75
Reef
7L4#7
8L3#4
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points0
144Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
81.00.2
79.779.5
Auto15.9
Teleop54.6
End10.4
red by 23.4
862
#14
57.60.2
57.757.6
Auto13.5
Teleop37.3
End6.7
Second
226
#2
59.30.2
58.057.8
Auto14.3
Teleop35.2
End9.7
red by 24.8
34.50.2
34.634.5
Auto6.6
Teleop21.3
End6.6
Third
240
#21
12.30.2
11.010.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.4
End1.6
blue by 7.4
9996
#16
19.70.2
19.819.7
Auto6.7
Teleop12.4
End0.7