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Red223
632876.1
404836.9
176879.6
Blue164
19071.8
854423.2
8874.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212186100150200250300223164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+47Teleop
+59Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave6
12Coral scored#8
58Coral points38
58Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +33
28Coral scored#22
101Coral points78
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
18Processor points12
20Net points16
38Algae points28
139Total teleop106
Reef
10L4#9
15L3#7
8L2#11
7L1 · trough#3
48Game pieces#36
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +59
0Foul points0
223Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.60.6
79.179.6
Auto21.6
Teleop46.7
End11.4
red by 4.8
88
#5
74.80.3
75.174.8
Auto16.8
Teleop46.7
End11.3
Second
76.10.6
75.576.1
Auto17.3
Teleop48.7
End10.0
red by 4.2
190
#4
71.80.3
72.171.8
Auto20.4
Teleop43.1
End8.3
Third
4048
#26
36.90.6
36.436.9
Auto7.7
Teleop22.3
End6.9
red by 13.7
8544
#29
23.20.3
23.523.2
Auto3.8
Teleop15.7
End3.7