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Red235
632876.1
404836.9
176879.6
Blue212
19071.8
854423.2
8874.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210184100150250300235212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+15Teleop
+25Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave9
10Coral scored#7
49Coral points35
58Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +1
32Coral scored#27
115Coral points96
1Processor algae#4
5Net algae#5
6Processor points24
20Net points20
26Algae points44
141Total teleop140
Reef
12L4#14
14L3#6
9L2#9
7L1 · trough#5
48Game pieces#43
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points2
235Total score212

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.60.9
78.179.1
Auto21.6
Teleop46.7
End11.4
red by 4.8
88
#5
74.80.8
74.375.1
Auto16.8
Teleop46.7
End11.3
Second
76.10.9
74.575.5
Auto17.3
Teleop48.7
End10.0
red by 4.2
190
#4
71.80.8
71.372.1
Auto20.4
Teleop43.1
End8.3
Third
4048
#26
36.90.9
35.436.4
Auto7.7
Teleop22.3
End6.9
red by 13.7
8544
#29
23.20.8
22.723.5
Auto3.8
Teleop15.7
End3.7