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Red156
7864.6
673132.5
242350.2
Blue207
19071.8
854423.2
8874.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157188050100250300156207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+69
Endgame+81
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
6Coral scored#7
28Coral points35
37Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +62
14Coral scored#24
49Coral points85
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#10
6Processor points12
20Net points40
26Algae points52
75Total teleop137
Reef
6L4#9
4L3#7
6L2#8
4L1 · trough#7
26Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +51
30Foul points0
156Total score207

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#14
64.60.5
65.164.6
Auto17.3
Teleop37.0
End10.3
blue by 10.2
88
#5
74.80.9
73.474.3
Auto16.8
Teleop46.7
End11.3
Second
50.20.5
50.850.2
Auto13.4
Teleop31.8
End5.0
blue by 21.6
190
#4
71.80.9
70.471.3
Auto20.4
Teleop43.1
End8.3
Third
6731
#13
32.50.5
33.132.5
Auto10.2
Teleop19.6
End2.7
red by 9.4
8544
#29
23.20.9
21.722.7
Auto3.8
Teleop15.7
End3.7