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Red219
19071.8
862634.3
8874.8
Blue127
490957.1
24633.4
46752.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2011540100300400219127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+94Teleop
+94Endgame
+92Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave3
9Coral scored#4
45Coral points20
51Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +66
33Coral scored#18
118Coral points64
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
144Total teleop78
Reef
13L4#9
13L3#6
10L2#4
6L1 · trough#3
48Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +92
0Foul points2
219Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#5
74.80.8
72.673.4
Auto16.8
Teleop46.7
End11.3
red by 17.7
57.10.6
57.857.1
Auto15.4
Teleop34.4
End7.3
Second
190
#4
71.80.8
69.670.4
Auto20.4
Teleop43.1
End8.3
red by 19.4
467
#12
52.40.6
53.052.4
Auto13.2
Teleop31.4
End7.7
Third
8626
#32
34.30.8
33.534.3
Auto4.4
Teleop29.1
End0.8
red by 0.9
246
#30
33.40.6
34.133.4
Auto4.2
Teleop27.5
End1.7