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Red221
632876.1
404836.9
176879.6
Blue140
7864.6
673132.5
242350.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions208154050100250300221140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+73Teleop
+83Endgame
+81Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave9
8Coral scored#4
42Coral points21
51Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +52
24Coral scored#15
88Coral points54
5Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
30Processor points12
16Net points16
46Algae points28
134Total teleop82
Reef
10L4#9
8L3#3
8L2#3
6L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#25
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +81
0Foul points2
221Total score140

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.60.8
77.478.1
Auto21.6
Teleop46.7
End11.4
red by 15.0
78
#14
64.60.3
65.465.1
Auto17.3
Teleop37.0
End10.3
Second
76.10.8
73.874.5
Auto17.3
Teleop48.7
End10.0
red by 25.8
50.20.3
51.050.8
Auto13.4
Teleop31.8
End5.0
Third
4048
#26
36.90.8
34.635.4
Auto7.7
Teleop22.3
End6.9
red by 4.4
6731
#13
32.50.3
33.333.1
Auto10.2
Teleop19.6
End2.7