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Red200
19071.8
862634.3
8874.8
Blue134
127735.9
856729.8
620139.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20910750150250300200134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+52Teleop
+64Endgame
+66Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +52
26Coral scored#19
95Coral points69
5Processor algae#2
6Net algae#4
30Processor points12
24Net points16
54Algae points28
149Total teleop97
Reef
9L4#10
10L3#4
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#29
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +66
2Foul points0
200Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#5
74.80.5
72.072.6
Auto16.8
Teleop46.7
End11.3
red by 35.0
6201
#22
39.80.7
39.139.8
Auto8.8
Teleop24.7
End6.3
Second
190
#4
71.80.5
69.069.6
Auto20.4
Teleop43.1
End8.3
red by 35.9
1277
#23
35.90.7
35.335.9
Auto5.3
Teleop21.6
End9.0
Third
8626
#32
34.30.5
33.033.5
Auto4.4
Teleop29.1
End0.8
red by 4.5
8567
#20
29.80.7
29.129.8
Auto5.2
Teleop22.1
End2.5