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Red115
964451.2
856729.8
127735.9
Blue112
7864.6
944319.7
6924.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130110050100150200115112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+17Teleop
+5Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +10
12Coral scored#15
44Coral points54
4Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
24Processor points12
20Net points12
44Algae points24
88Total teleop78
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#6
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points2
115Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9644
#16
51.20.5
49.649.1
Auto13.3
Teleop37.0
End0.9
blue by 13.5
78
#14
64.60.2
58.458.1
Auto17.3
Teleop37.0
End10.3
Second
1277
#23
35.90.5
36.936.4
Auto5.3
Teleop21.6
End9.0
red by 11.9
69
#31
24.00.2
26.626.4
Auto4.3
Teleop17.4
End2.4
Third
8567
#20
29.80.5
30.229.7
Auto5.2
Teleop22.1
End2.5
red by 10.1
9443
#28
19.70.2
23.022.8
Auto3.2
Teleop12.5
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
36%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned