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Red126
999112.8
176879.6
46752.4
Blue88
545933.0
573519.9
596211.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18345010015020025012688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
0Teleop0
+20Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave6
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points17
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +10
9Coral scored#13
33Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
51Total teleop61
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#5
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#19
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
18Foul points0
126Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.62.5
80.678.1
Auto21.6
Teleop46.7
End11.4
red by 46.7
5459
#17
33.02.2
30.833.0
Auto5.9
Teleop27.3
End-0.3
Second
467
#12
52.42.5
52.950.4
Auto13.2
Teleop31.4
End7.7
red by 32.4
5735
#15
19.92.2
15.617.8
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End-0.5
Third
12.84.2
12.38.1
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End2.8
red by 1.8
5962
#27
11.02.2
8.410.6
Auto3.0
Teleop8.4
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsMissed