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Red134
19071.8
854423.2
111931.7
Blue108
620139.8
862634.3
24633.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15712450100200134108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+26Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave3
2Coral scored#1
11Coral points6
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
16Coral scored#22
58Coral points79
3Processor algae#1
8Net algae#2
18Processor points6
32Net points8
50Algae points14
108Total teleop93
Reef
4L4#6
8L3#8
2L2#5
4L1 · trough#4
29Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
134Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#4
71.81.4
72.370.9
Auto20.4
Teleop43.1
End8.3
red by 32.0
6201
#22
39.81.4
41.139.7
Auto8.8
Teleop24.7
End6.3
Second
1119
#19
31.71.4
36.334.9
Auto5.8
Teleop20.4
End5.5
blue by 2.5
8626
#32
34.31.4
35.434.0
Auto4.4
Teleop29.1
End0.8
Third
8544
#29
23.21.4
23.522.1
Auto3.8
Teleop15.7
End3.7
blue by 10.2
246
#30
33.41.4
31.429.9
Auto4.2
Teleop27.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
53%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsMissed