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Red122
8874.8
1006316.9
673132.5
Blue87
910136.0
127735.9
207923.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1489505020025030012287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+19Teleop
+31Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points20
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +16
9Coral scored#8
34Coral points28
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
68Total teleop52
Reef
3L4#4
5L3#3
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#17
BargeRed +12
24Cage & park12
24Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
4Foul points0
122Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#5
74.80.6
74.573.9
Auto16.8
Teleop46.7
End11.3
red by 38.8
9101
#25
36.00.6
35.334.7
Auto6.5
Teleop25.8
End3.7
Second
6731
#13
32.50.6
31.831.3
Auto10.2
Teleop19.6
End2.7
blue by 3.4
1277
#23
35.90.6
36.435.8
Auto5.3
Teleop21.6
End9.0
Third
16.90.6
20.019.4
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End2.8
blue by 6.4
2079
#24
23.30.6
24.023.4
Auto7.4
Teleop14.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
27%Coral oddsEarned28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsMissed