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Red207
500046.9
242350.2
7864.6
Blue102
6924.0
115356.0
404836.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160133050100200250300350400207102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+93Teleop
+105Endgame
+105Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
6Leave0
8Coral scored#2
38Coral points9
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +58
23Coral scored#16
81Coral points59
4Processor algae#2
8Net algae#2
24Processor points12
32Net points8
56Algae points20
137Total teleop79
Reef
13L4#7
8L3#5
7L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#22
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +105
0Foul points0
207Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#14
64.63.3
58.161.4
Auto17.3
Teleop37.0
End10.3
red by 8.6
56.02.0
57.755.7
Auto8.3
Teleop41.7
End6.0
Second
50.23.3
44.447.7
Auto13.4
Teleop31.8
End5.0
red by 13.3
4048
#26
36.92.0
36.434.4
Auto7.7
Teleop22.3
End6.9
Third
5000
#10
46.93.3
44.447.6
Auto14.7
Teleop27.3
End4.9
red by 22.9
69
#31
24.02.0
26.424.4
Auto4.3
Teleop17.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned37%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsEarned