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Red133
673132.5
46752.4
99938.1
Blue46
111931.7
944319.7
1006316.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions889040608010012013346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+65Teleop
+65Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave3
5Coral scored#2
27Coral points9
33Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +44
13Coral scored#4
46Coral points14
0Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
0Processor points0
16Net points4
16Algae points4
62Total teleop18
Reef
7L4#3
5L3#1
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +87
24Foul points2
133Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#12Sur
52.41.3
50.451.7
Auto13.2
Teleop31.4
End7.7
red by 20.6
1119
#19Sur
31.72.4
34.932.5
Auto5.8
Teleop20.4
End5.5
Second
6731
#13Sur
32.51.3
31.332.6
Auto10.2
Teleop19.6
End2.7
red by 12.9
9443
#28
19.72.4
22.820.4
Auto3.2
Teleop12.5
End4.0
Third
9993
#21
8.12.2
5.17.3
Auto2.1
Teleop4.0
End2.2
blue by 8.8
10063
#18Sur
16.92.4
19.417.0
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned