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Red155
490957.1
964451.2
999112.8
Blue215
19071.8
8874.8
176879.6
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110258050150200300350155215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+40
Endgame+60
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave6
9Coral scored#10
47Coral points52
47Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +29
17Coral scored#17
62Coral points61
3Processor algae#6
3Net algae#6
18Processor points36
12Net points24
30Algae points60
92Total teleop121
Reef
10L4#11
6L3#7
4L2#4
6L1 · trough#5
32Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
0Foul points0
155Total score215

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#9Sur
57.13.0
53.556.5
Auto15.4
Teleop34.4
End7.3
blue by 22.5
1768
#2Sur
79.60.5
78.177.5
Auto21.6
Teleop46.7
End11.4
Second
9644
#16Sur
51.23.0
48.951.8
Auto13.3
Teleop37.0
End0.9
blue by 23.7
88
#5Sur
74.80.5
73.973.4
Auto16.8
Teleop46.7
End11.3
Third
9991
#7Sur
12.84.9
8.113.1
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End2.8
blue by 59.0
190
#4
71.80.5
70.970.4
Auto20.4
Teleop43.1
End8.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsEarned99%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned