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Red144
573519.9
910136.0
242350.2
Blue222
7864.6
632876.1
24633.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94186050150200250300144222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+60
Endgame+72
Fouls+78
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave9
4Coral scored#7
20Coral points35
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +39
25Coral scored#28
89Coral points100
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#7
6Processor points18
12Net points28
18Algae points46
107Total teleop146
Reef
8L4#15
10L3#7
6L2#9
5L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#45
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +78
0Foul points6
144Total score222

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2423
#3Sur
50.22.2
47.749.8
Auto13.4
Teleop31.8
End5.0
blue by 25.8
6328
#1Sur
76.12.8
71.173.9
Auto17.3
Teleop48.7
End10.0
Second
9101
#25Sur
36.02.2
34.736.9
Auto6.5
Teleop25.8
End3.7
blue by 28.6
78
#14Sur
64.62.8
61.464.2
Auto17.3
Teleop37.0
End10.3
Third
5735
#15
19.92.2
17.820.0
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End-0.5
blue by 13.5
246
#30Sur
33.42.8
29.932.8
Auto4.2
Teleop27.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
41%Coral oddsEarned61%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned