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Red170
632876.1
6924.0
176879.6
Blue85
910136.0
15733.0
1006316.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2128005010015025030017085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+73Teleop
+75Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
0Leave9
8Coral scored#2
41Coral points10
41Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +51
20Coral scored#7
71Coral points26
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
91Total teleop40
Reef
10L4#3
9L3#3
4L2#1
5L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +85
12Foul points2
170Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.60.4
77.577.1
Auto21.6
Teleop46.7
End11.4
red by 43.6
9101
#25
36.00.1
36.936.8
Auto6.5
Teleop25.8
End3.7
Second
76.10.4
73.973.5
Auto17.3
Teleop48.7
End10.0
red by 43.0
157
#11
33.00.1
33.933.8
Auto2.1
Teleop21.9
End9.0
Third
69
#31
24.00.4
24.424.0
Auto4.3
Teleop17.4
End2.4
red by 7.1
16.90.1
17.016.9
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End2.8