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Red132
127735.9
175741.4
944319.7
Blue133
242350.2
999112.8
19071.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93147050200250300132133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+3
Endgame+1
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave9
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points21
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +1
17Coral scored#16
60Coral points59
3Processor algae#3
3Net algae#3
18Processor points18
12Net points12
30Algae points30
90Total teleop89
Reef
7L4#7
7L3#7
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
0Foul points0
132Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.42.3
41.243.5
Auto9.2
Teleop25.5
End6.7
blue by 30.4
190
#4
71.80.1
74.374.3
Auto20.4
Teleop43.1
End8.3
Second
1277
#23
35.92.3
35.537.8
Auto5.3
Teleop21.6
End9.0
blue by 14.3
50.20.1
43.543.6
Auto13.4
Teleop31.8
End5.0
Third
9443
#28
19.72.3
20.823.1
Auto3.2
Teleop12.5
End4.0
red by 6.8
12.80.1
14.214.3
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned45%Barge oddsEarned