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Red119
176879.6
207923.3
573519.9
Blue82
99938.1
111931.7
500046.9
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1599705020025011982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+41Teleop
+29Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave6
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points7
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +24
15Coral scored#10
53Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
71Total teleop47
Reef
7L4#3
6L3#4
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
14Foul points6
119Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.62.7
85.382.6
Auto21.6
Teleop46.7
End11.4
red by 32.7
5000
#10
46.92.4
51.148.7
Auto14.7
Teleop27.3
End4.9
Second
2079
#24
23.32.7
29.626.9
Auto7.4
Teleop14.8
End1.1
blue by 8.4
1119
#19
31.72.4
37.635.2
Auto5.8
Teleop20.4
End5.5
Third
5735
#15
19.92.7
22.619.9
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End-0.5
red by 11.9
9993
#21
8.14.0
14.210.2
Auto2.1
Teleop4.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
81%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned