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Red80
862634.3
6924.0
964451.2
Blue97
596211.0
632876.1
1006316.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1371080501502002508097

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+13
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave6
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points17
27Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +17
10Coral scored#15
37Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
51Total teleop68
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#6
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
80Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9644
#16
51.22.6
52.249.6
Auto13.3
Teleop37.0
End0.9
blue by 24.9
76.10.7
73.672.8
Auto17.3
Teleop48.7
End10.0
Second
8626
#32
34.32.6
38.235.6
Auto4.4
Teleop29.1
End0.8
red by 17.4
16.90.7
23.022.2
Auto3.6
Teleop10.5
End2.8
Third
69
#31
24.02.6
29.326.6
Auto4.3
Teleop17.4
End2.4
red by 13.0
5962
#27
11.00.7
8.77.9
Auto3.0
Teleop8.4
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed66%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed43%Barge oddsMissed