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Red144
673132.5
19071.8
15733.0
Blue107
854423.2
7864.6
999112.8
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17092050150200250300144107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+19Teleop
+39Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
4Coral scored#5
21Coral points24
30Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +16
17Coral scored#13
60Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
78Total teleop62
Reef
9L4#8
6L3#3
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#21
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points2
144Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#4
71.80.4
74.373.9
Auto20.4
Teleop43.1
End8.3
red by 7.2
78
#14
64.60.3
58.158.4
Auto17.3
Teleop37.0
End10.3
Second
157
#11
33.00.4
36.736.2
Auto2.1
Teleop21.9
End9.0
red by 9.9
8544
#29
23.20.3
25.125.4
Auto3.8
Teleop15.7
End3.7
Third
6731
#13
32.50.4
36.636.2
Auto10.2
Teleop19.6
End2.7
red by 19.7
12.80.5
14.314.8
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned