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Red70
111931.7
15733.0
910136.0
Blue82
127735.9
999112.8
620139.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121990501502007082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+32
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +1
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points3
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +33
5Coral scored#11
19Coral points38
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
33Total teleop66
Reef
3L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#18
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
70Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9101
#25
36.00.7
36.836.0
Auto6.5
Teleop25.8
End3.7
blue by 3.8
6201
#22
39.80.1
39.339.1
Auto8.8
Teleop24.7
End6.3
Second
157
#11
33.00.7
33.833.0
Auto2.1
Teleop21.9
End9.0
blue by 2.9
1277
#23
35.90.1
35.435.3
Auto5.3
Teleop21.6
End9.0
Third
1119
#19
31.70.7
32.531.7
Auto5.8
Teleop20.4
End5.5
red by 18.9
12.80.2
13.112.8
Auto2.9
Teleop7.4
End2.8