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Red147
500046.9
545933.0
964451.2
Blue195
490957.1
24633.4
46752.4
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147159100120140180147195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+28
Endgame+50
Fouls+48
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
7Coral scored#5
34Coral points27
40Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +32
17Coral scored#26
61Coral points93
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
18Processor points18
16Net points16
34Algae points34
95Total teleop127
Reef
9L4#11
6L3#6
4L2#9
5L1 · trough#5
31Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +48
8Foul points6
147Total score195

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9644
#16
51.20.0
51.151.2
Auto13.3
Teleop37.0
End0.9
blue by 6.0
57.10.9
56.557.3
Auto15.4
Teleop34.4
End7.3
Second
5000
#10
46.90.0
46.946.9
Auto14.7
Teleop27.3
End4.9
blue by 5.4
467
#12
52.40.9
51.752.5
Auto13.2
Teleop31.4
End7.7
Third
5459
#17
33.00.0
33.033.0
Auto5.9
Teleop27.3
End-0.3
blue by 0.5
246
#30
33.40.9
32.833.6
Auto4.2
Teleop27.5
End1.7