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Red195
632876.1
404836.9
176879.6
Blue144
115356.0
175741.4
207923.3
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21312050100150250300195144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+19Auto
+43Teleop
+53Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +19
0Leave3
10Coral scored#6
51Coral points29
51Total auto32
TeleoperatedRed +24
27Coral scored#20
98Coral points72
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
118Total teleop94
Reef
10L4#12
17L3#6
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points2
195Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.60.2
77.177.4
Auto21.6
Teleop46.7
End11.4
red by 23.7
56.00.5
56.156.6
Auto8.3
Teleop41.7
End6.0
Second
76.10.2
73.573.8
Auto17.3
Teleop48.7
End10.0
red by 34.6
41.40.5
41.642.0
Auto9.2
Teleop25.5
End6.7
Third
4048
#26
36.90.2
34.434.6
Auto7.7
Teleop22.3
End6.9
red by 13.6
2079
#24
23.30.5
23.423.9
Auto7.4
Teleop14.8
End1.1