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Red186
7864.6
673132.5
242350.2
Blue131
19071.8
862634.3
8874.8
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153201050100250300350186131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+59Teleop
+49Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave0
10Coral scored#5
51Coral points23
51Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +31
25Coral scored#19
89Coral points68
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
123Total teleop92
Reef
13L4#13
12L3#4
5L2#5
5L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +55
6Foul points0
186Total score131

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
78
#14
64.60.7
64.765.4
Auto17.3
Teleop37.0
End10.3
blue by 10.2
88
#5
74.81.0
73.172.0
Auto16.8
Teleop46.7
End11.3
Second
50.20.7
50.351.0
Auto13.4
Teleop31.8
End5.0
blue by 21.6
190
#4
71.81.0
70.169.0
Auto20.4
Teleop43.1
End8.3
Third
6731
#13
32.50.7
32.633.3
Auto10.2
Teleop19.6
End2.7
blue by 1.7
8626
#32
34.31.0
34.033.0
Auto4.4
Teleop29.1
End0.8