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Red134
57148.7
801350.0
856725.4
Blue144
19564.4
971017.4
17662.0
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131157100200250134144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+10
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave9
5Coral scored#6
25Coral points31
31Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +1
18Coral scored#17
63Coral points60
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
6Processor points18
20Net points12
26Algae points30
89Total teleop90
Reef
9L4#9
5L3#7
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
134Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.00.2
49.950.2
Auto9.3
Teleop34.1
End6.6
blue by 14.4
195
#1
64.40.0
64.264.2
Auto17.6
Teleop39.4
End7.4
Second
571
#3
48.70.2
48.648.8
Auto11.7
Teleop33.6
End3.4
blue by 13.4
176
#2
62.00.0
61.861.9
Auto18.3
Teleop36.4
End7.4
Third
8567
#21
25.40.2
25.325.5
Auto5.2
Teleop18.3
End1.8
red by 8.0
9710
#30
17.40.0
17.217.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End1.7