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Red125
57148.7
801350.0
856725.4
Blue160
17662.0
971017.4
19564.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131157100200250125160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+26
Teleop+35
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +26
6Leave6
4Coral scored#10
22Coral points48
28Total auto54
TeleoperatedBlue +9
13Coral scored#18
47Coral points64
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
75Total teleop84
Reef
5L4#10
4L3#7
4L2#6
4L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#32
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +35
6Foul points6
125Total score160

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.00.2
50.250.0
Auto9.3
Teleop34.1
End6.6
blue by 14.4
195
#1
64.40.2
64.264.4
Auto17.6
Teleop39.4
End7.4
Second
571
#3
48.70.2
48.848.7
Auto11.7
Teleop33.6
End3.4
blue by 13.4
176
#2
62.00.2
61.962.0
Auto18.3
Teleop36.4
End7.4
Third
8567
#21
25.40.2
25.525.4
Auto5.2
Teleop18.3
End1.8
red by 8.0
9710
#30
17.40.2
17.217.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End1.7